Who gets cut first in a B2B layoff? Recruiters, then SDRs
Recruiters. At software and IT companies that shrank in 2022 to 2024, recruiters were 2.2% of staff at the peak but 4.1% of the people lost, and they were the slowest team to come back.
Key findings
1.26
net cut index for recruiting (95% interval 1.11 to 1.42), the highest of six teams after netting out churn at companies that did not shrink.
1.63
net cut index for SDRs and BDRs, the hardest-hit sales role. Account managers, who look after existing customers, came in at 0.86.
0.80
net cut index for support, the only one of the six teams cut less than its size. Engineering was not spared, at 1.06.
20.8%
of shrinking companies had their recruiting team back at peak size within two years of the low point, against 41.2% for sales.
On this page
When software and IT companies shrank in 2022 to 2024, recruiters were 2.2% of their staff at the peak but 4.1% of the people they lost. Recruiting teams fell 49% from the peak to the low point, against 26% for the companies as a whole.
Part of that was the hiring slowdown everywhere. Even companies that did not shrink had 9% fewer recruiters over the same quarters, while their total headcount grew 13%. Net of that normal churn, recruiting was still cut 1.26 times harder than its size (95% interval 1.11 to 1.42), more than any of the other five teams we measured. It was also the slowest to come back.
- Net cut index
- Raw cut index
- 95% interval (net index)
- Net cut index
- Raw cut index
- 95% interval (net index)
Cut index by team at software and IT companies that shrank 10% or more in 2022 to 2024: each team's share of the people lost over its share of staff at the peak. 1 means cut in proportion to size. Dots are the net index, against companies that did not shrink, with 95% intervals; open circles are the raw index.
Source: Ken internal data (company and career records Ken uses for sales and outreach), analysed by Cristian Frunze.
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| Net cut index | 95% interval (net index) | Raw cut index | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Recruiting | 1.26 | 1.11 to 1.42 | 1.86 |
| Marketing | 1.14 | 1.08 to 1.19 | 1.19 |
| Customer success | 1.08 | 1.00 to 1.18 | 0.96 |
| Sales | 1.07 | 1.00 to 1.12 | 1.06 |
| Engineering | 1.06 | 0.99 to 1.12 | 1.02 |
| Support | 0.80 | 0.72 to 0.90 | 0.92 |
How we measured the cuts
We rebuilt quarterly headcount for every company in Ken internal data from the start and end dates of people's roles, and grouped people by job title into teams. The data covers people who live in the US, the UK, Canada, Australia, Ireland and New Zealand, so every headcount here means staff in those six countries.
Of 12,203 software and IT companies with at least 50 such people, 54% saw headcount fall 10% or more from a peak between 2022 Q1 and 2024 Q4. We kept the 5,482 that were still hiring after their low point, which leaves out most shutdowns and acquisitions.
For each company we compared every team's share of the people lost with its share of staff at the peak. That ratio is the cut index: 1 means a team lost people in proportion to its size, 2 means twice as fast. Recruiting's raw cut index was 1.86.
Rebuilt headcount cannot tell a layoff from a resignation, and teams shrink for ordinary reasons too. So we tracked the same teams at 5,565 software and IT companies of similar size that did not shrink, over the same quarters. The net cut index compares each team's shortfall from where it would have been at those companies with the shortfall of the company as a whole.
Recruiting went first
Recruiting headcount turned down a quarter before the company's peak, when it already stood at 100.7% of its peak-quarter level. Two quarters after the peak it was down 23%, against 9% for the company. With hiring frozen, there is little for a recruiting team to do. SDRs fell 20% over the same two quarters.
- Recruiting
- SDRs and BDRs
- Whole company
- Recruiting
- SDRs and BDRs
- Whole company
Headcount as a percentage of its level in the company's peak quarter, pooled over software and IT companies that shrank, with a peak by 2024 Q1. Quarter 0 is the company's peak.
Source: Ken internal data (company and career records Ken uses for sales and outreach), analysed by Cristian Frunze.
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| Quarters from the company's peak | Recruiting | SDRs and BDRs | Whole company |
|---|---|---|---|
| -4 | 82.00% | 73.83% | 88.67% |
| -2 | 96.69% | 87.59% | 94.54% |
| -1 | 100.69% | 94.80% | 97.60% |
| 0 | 100.00% | 100.00% | 100.00% |
| 1 | 88.95% | 89.99% | 95.67% |
| 2 | 77.25% | 79.81% | 91.17% |
| 4 | 62.93% | 66.85% | 84.66% |
| 8 | 54.52% | 59.33% | 77.79% |
Inside sales, the cuts landed on new business
SDRs and BDRs, the junior reps who book first meetings, were cut hardest of any sales role, with a net cut index of 1.63. Account executives came next at 1.18. Account managers, who look after existing customers, were cut less than their size, at 0.86. Sales as a whole sat at 1.07.
- 95% interval
- 95% interval
Net cut index of three sales roles at software and IT companies that shrank, with 95% intervals. 1 means cut in proportion to size; sales as a whole was 1.07.
Source: Ken internal data (company and career records Ken uses for sales and outreach), analysed by Cristian Frunze.
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| Net cut index | 95% interval | |
|---|---|---|
| SDRs and BDRs | 1.63 | 1.50 to 1.76 |
| Account executives | 1.18 | 1.05 to 1.29 |
| Account managers | 0.86 | 0.79 to 0.93 |
The other teams:
- Marketing was cut harder than its size, at 1.14. Customer success came in at 1.08.
- Engineering was not spared. It lost people slightly faster than the company, at 1.06, and software engineers alone at 1.09. Engineering managers (0.90) were kept more often than the engineers they managed (1.07).
- Support was the one team cut less than its size, at 0.80. Its headcount fell 24% at the shrinking companies while the companies fell 26%, and it had been growing more slowly than most teams even at companies that did not shrink.
Put together, the teams that bring in new hires and new pipeline (recruiting, SDRs, marketing) lost the most. The teams that protect revenue already won (account management, support) lost the least.
Recruiting was the last to come back
Two years after the low point, sales teams were back at their peak size at 41.2% of these companies, engineering at 38.9% and marketing at 36.3%, as often as or more often than the companies themselves (36.1%). Recruiting was back at only 20.8%.
Share of shrinking software and IT companies where each team was back at its peak headcount within 8 quarters of the company's low point, for low points by 2024 Q1. Each team counts only where it had at least 5 people at the peak and was cut.
Source: Ken internal data (company and career records Ken uses for sales and outreach), analysed by Cristian Frunze.
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| Back at peak within 8 quarters | |
|---|---|
| Sales | 41.2% |
| Engineering | 38.9% |
| Marketing | 36.3% |
| Whole company | 36.1% |
| Customer success | 31.7% |
| Support | 29.2% |
| Recruiting | 20.8% |
Recruiting stayed down even where nothing shrank. At software and IT companies that never shrank, recruiting headcount peaked in 2022 Q3. By 2026 Q1 it was still 11% below early 2022, while total headcount at those companies had grown 22%.
By company size and industry
Recruiting topped the list at every size from 200 people up: 1.30 at 200 to 999 people, 1.29 at 1,000 to 4,999 and 1.46 at 5,000 or more, a group of only 35 companies. At 50 to 199 people, marketing was cut hardest (1.18) and recruiting about in line with its size (1.02). Support was cut least at every size.
Outside software the order shifts. Customer success teams, which hold less than half a percent of staff in those industries, were cut hardest in four of the six other industry groups, for example 1.66 in manufacturing, industrial and energy companies and 1.58 in life sciences. Recruiting was cut harder than its size in every group, from 1.19 in business services to 1.58 in industrial companies.
What we expected
We wrote down seven predictions before reading any data. Recruiting would be cut hardest, with a net index above 1.5: it was the highest of the six, but at 1.26. Engineering would be cut least: wrong, support was. Marketing would be cut harder than its size, and recruiting would be the team least often back at its peak: both right.
We also changed the net index after the first run, because the version we registered mixes normal churn back in. On the registered version, recruiting's net index is 1.02 and customer success is highest at 1.15. The methodology reports both.
What it means for a lean year
- Future capacity goes first. When B2B companies shrink, the first jobs to go are the ones that build capacity for later: recruiters, SDRs and marketers.
- Revenue already won is protected. Account managers (0.86) and support (0.80) were cut less than their size.
- Plan the restart early. Recruiting is cut first and rebuilt last: two years after the low point it was back at peak at only 20.8% of these companies. That matters when hiring has to start again.
- Read raw numbers with care. Recruiting shrank even at companies that grew, so a raw fall overstates how hard a team was cut.
What this data cannot show
- Six countries only. Staff elsewhere are not in the data, so a company that moved jobs abroad looks as if it cut them. Engineering may be overstated for that reason.
- Profiles, not payroll. People add new jobs late and leave some short jobs off, so recent quarters undercount hiring and the regrowth shares may run low.
- Layoffs and resignations look the same. The comparison companies remove normal churn, but not every difference between the two groups.
- Titles define teams. A recruiter who kept the job but changed title is counted in the new team.
- Linked with, not caused by. These are patterns across thousands of companies, not proof of what any one company should do.
Data and method
- Data
- Ken internal data: the public work histories and company records Ken uses for sales and outreach, reused by Cristian Frunze for this study. Headcount is rebuilt for people in six countries: the US, the UK, Canada, Australia, Ireland and New Zealand.
- Sample
- 5,482 software and IT companies whose headcount fell 10% or more from a peak of at least 50 people and that kept hiring afterwards, against 5,565 that did not shrink. 51,470 such companies across all industries.
- Date range
- Falls from a peak between 2022 Q1 and 2024 Q4, followed to 2026 Q1, the last complete quarter before the April 2026 profile snapshot.
- Method
- Pre-registered comparison of each team's share of the people lost with its share of staff at the peak, net of the change at comparison companies of the same industry group and size, with company bootstrap 95% intervals. Headline numbers recomputed by a separate analysis.
- Excluded
- Companies with fewer than 50 people at the peak
- Companies nobody joined in the year after the low point, mostly shutdowns and acquisitions
- Staff outside the six countries, who are not in the data
- Groups with fewer than 20 companies or 50 people
- Privacy
- Aggregates only. Any group smaller than 50 people is suppressed, and no individual is named.